Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 8.573548 9.522917 10.559739 11.780516 13.184116 14.753947 16.651698
2025-11-30 7.206670 8.445766 9.894641 11.729446 14.013145 16.791361 20.472424
2025-12-07 6.211318 7.533491 9.149432 11.297198 14.118870 17.759906 22.915146
2025-12-14 5.434724 6.764456 8.445247 10.764413 13.943916 18.245989 24.679827
2025-12-21 4.940439 6.288761 8.043846 10.547125 14.113107 19.152151 27.083647
2025-12-28 4.948567 6.460775 8.496057 11.512150 16.006082 22.694187 33.899879
2026-01-04 4.720125 6.284211 8.444666 11.744159 16.840221 24.751355 38.714073
2026-01-11 4.369922 5.906384 8.071836 11.457980 16.839147 25.481580 41.400041
2026-01-18 4.221434 5.801993 8.080160 11.738582 17.744447 27.776345 47.205517
2026-01-25 3.963134 5.517441 7.796908 11.534031 17.828069 28.675829 50.559643
2026-02-01 3.744390 5.276239 7.559773 11.378035 17.968601 29.678262 54.270698
2026-02-08 3.546192 5.052960 7.333358 11.217129 18.077619 30.625160 58.022984
2026-02-15 3.329211 4.795008 7.046110 10.949267 18.002468 31.279058 61.428955
2026-02-22 3.175255 4.626314 6.890215 10.892635 18.307505 32.717033 66.917939
2026-03-01 2.966900 4.359388 6.557228 10.499118 17.938617 32.747392 69.103704
2026-03-08 2.757728 4.080276 6.187764 10.012917 17.344707 32.236869 69.864734
2026-03-15 2.619681 3.908809 5.987052 9.814481 17.291695 32.864736 73.661045
2026-03-22 2.685976 4.073327 6.360799 10.695087 19.486717 38.739023 93.039398
2026-03-29 2.630767 4.032310 6.377685 10.906537 20.328036 41.679158 105.095035
2026-04-05 2.502743 3.862006 6.158120 10.645703 20.134432 42.122511 109.700701
2026-04-12 2.463695 3.841059 6.201507 10.901456 21.093427 45.551846 124.937299
2026-04-19 2.360735 3.704873 6.029801 10.715033 21.043660 46.407598 131.797405
2026-04-26 2.270599 3.586979 5.885121 10.572811 21.080624 47.499382 139.876188